It's great to be with you and back at The Villages. It's a trend that once again has been fueled by migration, this time not from Cuba but from the U.S.ĭONALD TRUMP: And hello, Florida. Senate seats and every position elected statewide in Florida are now controlled by Republicans. The governor's mansion, both chambers of the legislature, both U.S. The head of Florida's Republican Party, Christian Ziegler, says that's no longer the case.ĬHRISTIAN ZIEGLER: We now have almost 500,000 more Republicans than Democrats, so it's really been a 750,000 voter registration swing towards the Republicans.ĪLLEN: The shift to the Republican Party has been reflected in recent elections. Five years ago, there were a quarter million more registered Democrats than Republicans in the state. It's part of a political shift in Florida that's reflected in voter registration figures. Two years later, Governor Ron DeSantis resoundingly won his reelection bid by the largest margin of any Republican since Reconstruction. Democrats have made inroads over the decades, but Cuban American support helped Donald Trump carry Miami-Dade County in 2020 and win Florida while losing nationally. But in 1983, a visit by a Republican president had a big impact.ĪLLEN: Ronald Reagan's address at the Dade County Auditorium helped galvanize Republican support among Cuban Americans - a fast-growing and influential population in South Florida. Migration, both of retirees from the Northeast and of Cuban Americans fleeing communism, made for a diverse population that supported Democrats. GREG ALLEN, BYLINE: For more than a century, Florida was a Democratic stronghold, and it looked like it would stay that way. SNELL: People flow in and out of Florida for other reasons, too - immigration, jobs, family. And so the voters who elected a candidate in one year might not be around the next time. A lot of people come here to retire and then pass away, and then someone else moves in. He says only about a third of the population is born and raised in Florida. He's the director of the Hanley Democracy Center at the University of Miami. Florida is probably there or almost there already. GREGORY KOGER: Somewhere around 2,040 non-Hispanic whites will make up a minority of the population of the country. And Florida isn't just politically diverse. Parts of central Florida vote more like the Midwest, and areas around Miami - they are another story entirely. The northern section votes a lot like the rest of the South. Geller says the state is actually broken down into sections with completely different political identities. He was also an attorney for Al Gore during the 2000 recount. He is a former state representative and a former chair of the Miami-Dade Democratic Party. JOE GELLER: Florida is the future because Florida is a microcosm of what America will be because Florida is incredibly diverse. Analysts explain that's because it's one of the most consistently changing and closely divided states in the country. KELSEY SNELL, BYLINE: Florida's place in politics isn't just a fluke. And, of course, culture wars, dramatic political swings and now the federal indictment of former President Trump - all in Florida, but why Florida? To help explain how the Sunshine State ended up in the center of the political universe here in the U.S., NPR's Kelsey Snell and Greg Allen have this report. Another recount in 2018 left a Senate seat in the balance. SHAPIRO: That recount in 2000 changed the course of the American presidency. UNIDENTIFIED REPORTER: The nation awaits the Florida recount. MELISSA BLOCK, BYLINE: The Walt Disney Company has filed a First Amendment lawsuit against Florida Governor Ron DeSantis.ĪILSA CHANG, BYLINE: Uncertainty reigns in Florida. SCOTT DETROW, BYLINE: Former President Donald Trump is in federal custody. Florida seems to have a knack for being right in the middle of the political moment.
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